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文章采用多元统计中的主成分分析方法,以浙江省为例,对影响贸易条件变动的因素进行了实证分析。研究结果表明,名义汇率对收入贸易条件有显著影响,经济发展水平、国内市场规模、基础设施建设投入和人民生活水平的提高对促进收入贸易条件的改善起到了积极作用,而外商投资、研发投入对收入贸易条件影响较小。为此,文章提出了相应的政策建议。
The article adopts the principal component analysis method in multivariate statistics, taking Zhejiang Province as an example, makes an empirical analysis of the factors that affect the change of terms of trade. The results show that the nominal exchange rate has a significant impact on the terms of income and trade. The economic development level, domestic market size, investment in infrastructure construction and people’s living standard have played a positive role in promoting the improvement of terms of income and trade. However, foreign investment, R & D investment The impact on terms of income and trade is relatively small. To this end, the article put forward the corresponding policy recommendations.