与天气相关的不正常事件及预报服务能力分析

来源 :中国民航飞行学院学报 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:Shauphei
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空管运行不正常事件在一定程度上与飞行量和天气有关。本文针对新疆空管局2012~2014年空管运行不正常事件报告中关于航空器在进近着陆中因天气原因导致复飞或中止进近的事件,统计分析了事件的分布规律、特点、原因以及预报服务能力。分析显示:不正常事件主要分为进近阶段无法取得目视参考、风速超标、风切变、颠簸、强降水、雷暴等类型;不正常事件11~2月出现最多,其次是春末夏初;进近阶段无法取得目视参考所占比例最高,其次是风速超标和风切变,次之为颠簸;导致不正常事件的不同天气,预报服务难易不同。 Air traffic control abnormalities to some extent and the amount of flight and the weather. In this paper, aiming at the incident of air take-off or aborting approach due to the weather during approach and landing of Air Traffic Control (ATC) in 2012-2014, the statistical analysis of the distribution, characteristics, causes and reasons Forecast service capabilities. The analysis shows that the abnormal events are mainly classified into the following types: visual reference, wind speed, wind shear, bumpy, heavy rainfall and thunderstorm during the approach phase; the most irregular events occur in November and February, followed by spring and early summer and early summer ; The highest percentage of visual reference can not be obtained during the approach phase, followed by the wind speed exceeding the standard and wind shear, followed by the bumpy; different weather leading to abnormal events, different forecast service difficulty.
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