受主要发达国家泡沫经济崩溃的影响 ,2001年以来世界经济一直呈现低速增长态势。经过近3年的调整 ,加上伊拉克战争的结束 ,主要发达国家经济预计会从今年下半年开始转入复苏 ,从而带动全球经济回升。但由于泡沫经济的后遗症尚未完全消除 ,通货紧缩风险正在形成新的威胁 ,主要发 Affected by the collapse of the bubble economy in the major developed countries, the world economy has been showing a slow growth since 2001. After nearly three years of adjustment and the end of the war in Iraq, the economies of the major developed countries are expected to start a recovery from the second half of this year so as to boost the global economic recovery. However, as the aftermath of the bubble economy has not been completely eliminated, the risk of deflation is emerging as a new threat.