统计预测是根据预测对象发展变化的规律,估计和判断未来发展趋势的一种活动,通过预测能有效地促进卫生事业有计划、按比例、快速协调发展。预测的方法很多,各种预测方法都有一定的局限性,预测结果正确与否,一方面取决于数据的准确性,另一方面也取决于预测方法及数学模型的确定 Statistical forecasting is an activity that estimates and judges the future development trend based on the law of the development and change of the forecasting object. Through forecasting, it can effectively promote the planned, proportioned and rapid coordinated development of the health industry. There are many methods for prediction, and various prediction methods have certain limitations. The correctness of the prediction results depends on the accuracy of the data on the one hand and the determination of the prediction methods and mathematical models on the other hand.