Autoregressive neural networks with exogenous variables for indoor temperature prediction in buildin

来源 :建筑模拟(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:hulisheng
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Thermal models of buildings are helpful to forecast their energy use and to enhance the control of their mechanical systems. However, these models are building-specific and require a tedious, error-prone and time-consuming development effort relying on skilled building energy modelers. Compared to white-box and gray-box models, data-driven (black-box) models require less development time and a minimal amount of information about the building characteristics. In this paper, autoregressive neural network models are compared to gray-box and black-box linear models to simulate indoor temperatures. These models are trained, validated and compared to actual experimental data obtained for an existing commercial building in Montreal (QC, Canada) equipped with roof top units for air conditioning. Results show that neural networks mimic more accurately the thermal behavior of the building when limited information is available, compared to gray-box and black-box linear models. The gray-box model does not perform adequately due to its under-parameterized nature, while the linear models cannot capture non-linear phenomena such as radiative heat transfer and occupancy. Therefore, the neural network models outperform the alternative models in the presented application, reaching a coefficient of determination R2 up to 0.824 and a root mean square error down to 1.11 ℃, including the error propagation over time for a 1-week period with a 5-minute time-step. When considering a 50-hour time horizon, the best neural networks reach a much lower root mean square error of around 0.6 ℃, which is suitable for applications such as model predictive control.
其他文献
  从分娩奶牛中筛选出亚临床酮病奶牛(1.0mmol/L≤血清β-羟丁酸<2.6mmol/L)8头作为试验组,另经配对选择出8头未发生酮病奶牛(血液β-羟丁酸< 1.0mmol/L)作为对照组;在分娩后3
会议
  试验旨在对焦作市某猪场临床疑似猪伪狂犬病的病猪进行实验室病毒的分离和鉴定。通过细胞培养获得病毒后,再经电镜观察、PCR扩增特异性核酸片段等方法进行鉴定,实验结果表
Many energy performance analysis methodologies assign buildings a descriptive label that represents their main activity, often known as the primary space usage
Urban wind environments are closely related to air pollution and outdoor human comfort. The urban natural ventilation potential (NVP) is an important factor in
鸡腿菇是一种土生菌和粪草生菌。幼时肉质细嫩,鲜美可口,色香味均不亚于草菇。味甘滑性平,有益脾胃、清心安神,常食有助于消化、增加食欲、治疗糖尿病和痔疮等功效,其提取物对肿瘤
  以分娩4周内的137头荷斯坦奶牛为试验动物,筛选19头酒精检测阳性和CMT检测阴性的牛只作为试验组,14头酒精和CMT检测阴性牛只为对照组,进行乳汁理化指标、血细胞、血液生
  近年来,由多种病因或病原微生物导致犬猫腹泻发病率和死亡率不断增加,化学药品和抗生素治疗常常不尽人意。本文根据中兽医理论讨论如何应用中药有效地辨证预防和治疗犬猫腹
With the increasing size of the waiting hall, the large-area use of transparent envelope materials makes the interior surface temperature of the envelope too hi
一、推迟花期,避开晚霜天气。于秋季喷布50—100ppm的赤霉素,可使第二年春季花期推迟8—10天,或于春季化芽膨大期喷布500—2000ppm的赤霉素,可推迟花期4—6天,同时配合早春
  本文介绍了母猪分娩前后的状态对仔猪的影响,并指出母猪分娩前后气血状态是影响仔猪数量和生长发育的关键因素,同时也会引发母猪出现产前产后便秘、产程过程、产后瘫痪等疾