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在过去的30年里,浙江省从一个资源小省迅速发展为经济大省,其发展令人瞩目。本文依据菲利普斯曲线和奥肯定律,采用回归分析、H—P滤波法,建立状态空间模型,得出浙江省固定资投资、通货膨胀率以及GDP增长率三者间的数量关系。
In the past 30 years, Zhejiang Province has witnessed remarkable development from a small province of resources to a large economic province. Based on the Phillips curve and Okun’s law, this paper uses regression analysis and H-P filtering to establish the state space model, and obtains the quantitative relationship between the fixed investment, inflation rate and GDP growth rate in Zhejiang Province.