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本文阐述了湖北省终端能源的消费现状,分析得出湖北省能源消费强劲,但结构不尽合理。通过选取湖北省及全国2003~2012年的数据,对能源消费与经济增长的相关性进行了线性分析,结果表明湖北省能源消费与经济增长具有极强的正相关性。基于湖北经济增长的判断,对湖北省终端能源消费量进行了短期预测。同时,结合全国的经济发展历程,预测湖北省必将走上优化能源结构、推进电能替代的道路。
This article expounds the consumption status of terminal energy in Hubei Province, and concludes that energy consumption in Hubei Province is strong but the structure is not reasonable. By selecting the data of Hubei Province and the whole country from 2003 to 2012, the linear analysis of the correlation between energy consumption and economic growth shows that there is a strong positive correlation between energy consumption and economic growth in Hubei Province. Based on the judgment of Hubei’s economic growth, a short-term forecast of terminal energy consumption in Hubei Province was conducted. At the same time, combined with the national economic development course, it is predicted that Hubei Province will surely embark on the road of optimizing energy structure and promoting electric energy substitution.