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埃克森美孚最新发布的《2040年能源展望》认为:到2040年,全球人口数量将从现在的70亿增长到接近90亿,经济产出将翻番,能源需求将比2010年增加约30%;石油仍将是第一大能源,非经合组织国家的石油需求将增长70%;全球天然气需求将上升约60%,到2025年天然气将成为第二大能源。发电业将成为全球能源需求最大、增速最快的领域,居民和商业能源需求将继续从消费者直接使用一次能源转向使用电力。交通能源总需求将增加近45%,其中重型车柴油需求将比2010年增加85%,航空和船舶燃料需求几乎翻番。制造业和化学工业引领工业能源需求的增加。全球碳排放量预计在2030年前后达到峰值,从2030年到2040年将基本保持不变。科技进步继续推动液体燃料供应量增长和供应种类多样化。
ExxonMobil recently released “Energy Outlook 2040” that: by 2040, the global population will grow from the current 7 billion to nearly 9 billion, economic output will double, energy demand will increase by about 30% ; Oil will remain the number-one energy source, oil demand in non-OECD countries will increase by 70%; global gas demand will rise by about 60% and natural gas will become the second-largest energy source by 2025. Power generation industry will become the world’s largest energy demand, the fastest growing areas, residents and commercial energy demand will continue to direct use of primary energy from consumers to use electricity. Total transport energy demand will increase by nearly 45%, of which the demand for heavy-duty truck diesel will increase 85% over 2010, aviation and marine fuel demand almost doubled. Manufacturing and chemical industries lead the increase in industrial energy demand. Global carbon emissions are expected to peak around 2030 and will remain essentially unchanged from 2030 to 2040. Scientific and technological progress has continued to promote the growth of liquid fuel supply and diversification of supply.