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前不久,世界银行国际比较计划(简称ICP)发布了一项研究成果,按照购买力平价方法计算,2014年中国的经济规模将超过美国,位居世界第一。这项研究成果一经发布,立刻引发国际舆论的高度关注。此项研究结果比按现行汇率计算GDP排名,中国至少提前了六七年超过美国。如何看待这一结论,既事关对中国经济地位的判断,也关系到对全球经济格局的判断。
Not long ago, the World Bank’s International Comparison Program (ICP) released a study that, according to the PPP method, China’s economy will surpass the U.S. in 2014 and will rank the first in the world. Once released, the results of this research immediately aroused the great attention of international media. The result of this study is higher than the GDP rank calculated at the prevailing exchange rate. China surpassed the United States at least six or seven years earlier. How to treat this conclusion is not only a matter of judging China’s economic status, but also a judgment of the global economic situation.