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2017年一季度中国经济表现不俗,多项宏观经济指标远超预期,宏观先导指标预示经济逐步回暖,经济景气指数不断向好,但是房地产开发投资增速即将见顶,货币供给量增速回落明显,PPP模式带来的债务风险不能小觑,特朗普百日新政的影响存在不确定性。未来中国经济要保持健康平稳增长,就必须要处理好一些关键问题,全面贯彻落实供给侧结构性改革。
In the first quarter of 2017, China’s economy performed well. A number of macroeconomic indicators far exceeded expectations. Macroeconomic indicators indicate that the economy is gradually warming up and the economic sentiment index is improving. However, the real estate development investment is about to peak and the money supply growth rate slows down Obviously, the debt risks brought by the PPP model can not be underestimated. The impact of Trump’s 100-day New Deal is uncertain. In order to maintain a healthy and steady economic growth in the future, we must handle some crucial issues and fully implement the supply-side structural reforms.