中国经济自身的增长动能正在减弱,若无财政和货币政策的有效刺激,今年全年的增长率将持续第二年低于8.0%。由于中国是世界第二大经济体,是全球最主要的贸易国之一,其增长放缓肯定具有全球性效应。对全球经济增长的影响要度量中国经济对全球经济的拉动力或贡献率,需要两个变量:它占全球经济的比重以及它本身的增长速度。2012年中国经济总量占全球经 The growth momentum of China’s economy itself is weakening. Without the effective stimulation of fiscal and monetary policies, the growth rate for the full year this year will continue to be below 8.0% for the second year. As China is the second largest economy in the world and one of the major trading nations in the world, its slowdown certainly has a global effect. Impact on Global Economic Growth To measure the Chinese economy’s pull or contribution to the global economy, two variables are needed: its share of the global economy and its own growth rate. China’s total economic output in 2012 accounted for the global economy