当今,世界上许多大油田的石油产量都已经过了峰值,石油资源的短缺趋势越来越明显,由此引起的不良影响也在向人类迫近。与此同时,世界石油工业正在发生着深刻的变化:世界经济的持续发展使人类对石油的需求日益增长,而石油的供应却面临挑战;国际油价在高位震荡,廉价石油时代一去不返;由石油资源引发的战争和恐怖主义困扰着人类;石油资源的国有化浪潮正在掀起石油安全引发各国政府和国际组织对石油资源空前关注。在这种背景下,研究矿产资源枯竭规律的“石油峰值论”开始在世界范围内兴起,它正在引起许多国家的政府机构、行业巨头、学者及民众的广泛关注。 Nowadays, the oil production of many large oil fields in the world has peaked. The shortage of oil resources is becoming more and more obvious. As a result, the adverse effects are also approaching to mankind. At the same time, profound changes have taken place in the world petroleum industry: the continuous development of the world economy has made human demand for oil growing while the supply of oil is facing challenges; the international oil prices are in high turbulence and the cheap oil era is gone; The war and terrorism triggered by oil resources plague human beings; the wave of nationalization of oil resources is setting off oil security and attracting governments and international organizations of all nations unprecedented attention to oil resources. Against this background, “peak oil theory”, which studies the law of depletion of mineral resources, has started to rise around the world. It is attracting wide attention from government agencies, industry giants, academics and the general public in many countries.