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重大突发事件情景构建理论与方法是当前公共安全科学最前沿研究方向之一。本文参考国外应急管理经验.并结合我国工作实践,提出适用于中国重大突发事件情景基本概念、分类矩阵、构建程序、情景框架结构与要索内容等理论与方法.为建立“情景—应对”应急预案管理模式提供技术支撑.同时为挺出具有针对性和实效性的应急堵训和应急演练规划提供参考。
The theory and method of constructing major contingencies are one of the forefront research directions in public safety science. This paper refers to the experience of emergency management in foreign countries.Combined with the practice of our country, this paper puts forward the theories and methods that are applicable to the basic concepts, classification matrices, construction procedures, structure of contextual framework and the content of the important emergency scenarios in China. "Emergency plan management mode to provide technical support.At the same time, it can provide a reference to emerge the pertinent and effective emergency blocking training and emergency exercise planning.