城际轨道交通可达性与城市经济发展的关系分析

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城际轨道作为区域交通的骨干,对引导和带动粤港澳大湾区经济一体化发展发挥重要作用.研究并分析了衡量城际轨道交通和经济发展水平的变量,提出城际轨道交通可达性和经济发展水平的测算方法,构建耦合协调度模型,定量评价城际轨道交通可达性与经济发展水平之间的相关性.运用双重差分模型验证城际轨道线路开通与城市经济发展之间的影响关系.以粤港澳大湾区11座城市为例,进一步研究不同年份城际轨道交通可达性对城市经济的影响.结果表明,城际轨道的开通运营对城市经济具有显著正效益,其弹性系数为0.012 8.交通与经济发展越协调的城市,城际铁路开通带来的正向影响越明显.本方法可为区域整体协调发展提供理论与实践指导.
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