“复关障碍”:中国十年后果真世界第一? 1992年,美国兰德公司及其他一些学者使用购买力平均法,评估中国的经济实力,不禁大吃一惊:中国经济增长速度比美国快3倍,十年以后,在经济总量上将居世界第一位! 按照购买力评价法评估中国经济实力,低估了中国通货膨胀的前景,高估了人民币的购买力和经济实力。这样一个评估方法,竟然与历史上“黄祸论”联系起来,演变成“中国威胁论”,在美国、日本、东南亚鼓噪了两三年。——中国远远没有那么强大,国际社会为什么要高估中国?——他们是害怕中国迅速强大 “Complex Obstacles”: China’s Ten-Year Reality Is First in the World? In 1992, when the United States Rand Corporation and other scholars used the averages of purchasing power to assess China’s economic strength, they were greatly surprised by the fact that China’s economy grew three times faster than the United States, Ten years later, it will rank first in the world in terms of total economic output. Evaluating China’s economic strength in accordance with the purchasing power appraisal method underestimated the prospect of inflation in China and overestimated the purchasing power and economic strength of the renminbi. Such an assessment method has actually been linked to the “Yellow Peril Theory” in history and has evolved into a “China threat theory.” It has stirred up two or three years in the United States, Japan and Southeast Asia. - China is far less powerful, and why should the international community overestimate China? - They are afraid that China will become rapidly strong