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本文以2006-2012年季度数据为基础,在建立VAR模型框架上,利用脉冲响应函数,分析我国高铁投资对总产出、最终消费、社会固定资产投资和产业结构的冲击效应。研究发现高铁投资对总产出、最终消费、社会投资以及产业结构具有正向的影响。本文的研究对我国今后政府高铁投资决策具有重要的参考意义。
Based on the quarterly data from 2006 to 2012, this paper uses the impulse response function to establish the VAR model, and analyzes the impact of HSR investment on total output, final consumption, social fixed asset investment and industrial structure. The study found that high-speed railway investment has a positive impact on output, final consumption, social investment and industrial structure. The research in this paper is of great significance to the future government high-speed rail investment decision-making in our country.