对陆战场空域用户飞行误撞因素进行了分析;在Reich模型的基础上,构建了飞行碰撞概率模型,包括垂直方向概率模型、侧向概率模型和纵向概率模型。为验证飞行碰撞概率模型的有效性,仿真计算了空域管制与协调系统的飞行碰撞概率指标,并对比分析了传统空域管制手段与空域管制协调系统的飞行碰撞概率指标的变化情况,结果表明:相对传统空域管制手段,空域管制与协调系统飞行碰撞概率大幅降低。 Based on the Reich model, the flight collision probability model is constructed, including the vertical probability model, the lateral probability model and the longitudinal probability model. In order to verify the effectiveness of the flight collision probability model, the flight collision probability of airspace control and coordination system was simulated and the changes of flight collision probability between the traditional airspace control system and the airspace control coordination system were analyzed. The results show that the relative Traditional airspace control methods and airspace control and coordination systems significantly reduce the probability of collision.