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均势自动生成论作为传统均势理论的一个核心内容,虽然解释了很多国际政治实践,但也具有理论上的局限性。通过分析俾斯麦治下德意志崛起的一段历史,可以归纳出均势自动生成论的几点疏漏:忽略了潜在霸权国的自我克制能力;其他国家各自对潜在霸权国崛起带来的威胁性有不同评估;制衡可能是脆弱和不长久的,等等。这种分析也能够对当今中国的崛起与发展提供有益启示。
As a core content of the traditional theory of balance of power, automatic equilibrium theory of balance of power explains many international political practices but also has theoretical limitations. By analyzing the history of Bismarck’s rise to Germany, some omissions in the automatic generation of equilibrium theory can be summed up: the self-restraint ability of potential hegemony countries has been neglected; the threats of potential rise of potential hegemonic countries have been evaluated differently in other countries; Checks and balances can be fragile and unsubstantial, and so on. This kind of analysis can also provide useful inspiration to the rise and development of China today.