经济增长与人口因素密不可分。文章采用1994-2010年的全国数据,对人力资本存量、劳动年龄人口比重、物质资本存量与经济增长之间的关系进行实证分析,并在此基础上进行简单预测。结果显示:人力资本存量、劳动年龄人口比重及物质资本存量对经济增长具有显著的促进作用,且在现阶段人口红利因素对经济增长贡献较大。 Economic growth and the population are inseparable. Based on the national data from 1994 to 2010, the article makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between the stock of human capital, the proportion of the working-age population, the stock of physical capital and economic growth, and makes simple predictions on the basis of this. The results show that: the stock of human capital, the proportion of the working-age population and the stock of physical capital have a significant role in promoting economic growth, and at this stage, the demographic dividend contribution to economic growth is greater.