论文部分内容阅读
文章针对黄河三角洲地区两个主要城市东营市和滨州市,采用主成分分析和灰色关联度分析集成的方法,进行可持续发展模式的定量研究。将可持续发展系统划分为经济子系统、社会子系统和资源环境子系统,首先采用主成分分析评价了两市2005—2009年综合可持续发展水平,然后采用灰色关联度方法分别计算了两市各子系统与其综合可持续发展水平的关联度。结果发现,不仅两市的可持续发展程度存在一定的差异性,而且影响可持续发展水平变动的主要因素也不同。经济发展是拉动东营市可持续发展水平变动的最主要因素,而社会发展是推动滨州市可持续发展水平变动的最主要因素,从而界定东营市可持续发展模式是经济拉动型,滨州市的可持续发展模式是社会推动型。
In this paper, two major cities in the Yellow River Delta, Dongying City and Binzhou City, using the method of principal component analysis and gray correlation analysis integrated approach to sustainable development model quantitative research. The sustainable development system is divided into economic subsystem, social subsystem and resources and environment subsystem. Firstly, the principal component analysis is used to evaluate the comprehensive sustainable development level of the two cities from 2005 to 2009, and then the gray relational degree method is used to calculate the two cities Relevance of each subsystem to its overall level of sustainable development. The results showed that not only the degree of sustainable development of the two cities is different, but also the main factors that affect the level of sustainable development are different. Economic development is the most important factor to promote the sustainable development level of Dongying City, and social development is the most important factor to promote the sustainable development level of Binzhou City. Therefore, the sustainable development model of Dongying City is an economic driving type, and Binzhou City The model of sustainable development is socially motivated.