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“城市矿产”是对工业及城镇化过程产生的电子、金属、橡胶、塑料等废弃资源再生利用的规模化、产业化。本文从我国“城市矿产”产业链环节分析了其产业脆弱性结构以及影响因素,提炼了产业系统脆弱性因子。根据产业集聚过程的内、外动因,从管理水平、企业规模、技术水平、盈利能力、经济地理、资源禀赋、产业协同度及政策输出等方面构建了产业系统脆弱性评价指标体系。采用层次分析法(AHP)分析了评价体系的各项指标及权重,寻找影响系统稳定的关键因子并进行客观评价。最后从社会化大循环视角提出“微观调节、中观协调、宏观调控”的系统性防范对策,为避免产业结构失稳提供有效指导。
“City and Minerals ” is the scale and industrialization of the recycling of waste resources such as electronics, metals, rubber and plastics generated by industrial and urbanization. This paper analyzes the structure and influencing factors of industrial fragility from the link of China’s “urban mineral” industrial chain, and extracts the fragility factor of industrial system. According to the internal and external causes of industrial agglomeration, this paper constructs the evaluation index system of industrial system vulnerability from aspects of management level, enterprise scale, technology level, profitability, economic geography, resource endowment, industrial coordination degree and policy output. Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) analysis of the indicators of the evaluation system and weight, find the key factors affecting system stability and objective evaluation. Finally, from the perspective of socialization, a systemic preventive countermeasure of “micro-regulation, coordination of macroeconomic control and macro-control” should be put forward from the perspective of socialization and circulation, so as to provide effective guidance to avoid the destabilization of industrial structure.