经济合作与发展组织和联合国粮食及农业组织发布了《2014-2023年世界农业展望报告》,认为,来10年中国面临着经济增速放缓的压力,但农产品需求预期依然坚挺,粮食、畜产品、水产品等主要农产品供给能力也将稳步提高。谷物供求紧平衡的态势不会发生根本性改变。中国口粮(大米和小麦)的自给率仍将保持在98%以上;同时预计中国粗粮消费年均增长速度为1.65%, The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations released the World Agricultural Outlook for 2014-2023 report that over the next 10 years, China is under pressure to slow down its economic growth. However, demand for agricultural products is still expected to remain strong. Grain, livestock, Products, aquatic products and other major agricultural products supply capacity will also be steadily increased. Balanced supply and demand of cereals will not fundamentally change the situation. The self-sufficiency rate of Chinese rations (rice and wheat) will remain above 98%. Meanwhile, the average annual growth rate of China’s coarse grains consumption is expected to be 1.65%