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应用林窗模型(ForestGapModel)及4种大气环流模式(GeneralGirculationModels,GCMs)CO2加倍“平衡响应”数值试验结果模拟了小兴安岭阔叶红松林对未来气候变化的动态响应过程.结果表明,在美国高达空间研究实验室(GoddardInstituteforSpaceStudies,简记GISS)和美国俄勒冈州立大学(OregonStateUniversity,简记OSU)GCMs预测的CO2倍增未来气候情景下,与本底生物量(目前气候条件下)相比,阔叶红松林生物量逐渐升高,目前云冷杉阔叶红松林将逐渐向枫桦、紫椴和裂叶榆阔叶红松林演变;但在普林斯顿大学地球流体动力学实验室(GeophysicalFluidDynamicsLaboratory,PrincetonUniversity,简记GFDL)和英国气象局(UnitedKindomMeteorologicalOffice,简记UKMO)GCMs预测的未来情景下,由于较大幅度的增温,云冷杉红松林将向以蒙古栎、紫椴和裂叶榆为主要树种的阔叶林演变.未来增温速率决定了阔叶红松林未来的演替方向
The dynamic responses of broad-leaved Korean pine forests to climate change in the future were simulated using ForestGapModel and four GCMs CO 2 -balanced response tests. The results show that in the United States up to space Prediction of CO2 multiples by GCMs at the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) and Oregon State University (USA) GCMs Predict CO2 Multiplication In future climatic scenarios, compared with background biomass (under current climates) The biomass gradually increased. At present, the broadleaved Korean pine forest will gradually evolve to maple birch, Tilia amurensis and Ulmus pumila and the broad-leaved Korean pine forest. However, in the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (Princeton University, GFDL) In the future scenarios predicted by the GCMs of the UnitedKindomMeteorologicalOffice (UKMO), due to greater warming, the forest will evolve into broad-leaved forests dominated by Quercus mongolica, Tilia amurensis and Crassulaceae The rate of warming determines the future succession of broad-leaved Korean pine forests