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9月以来,美元大幅贬值。此次美元贬值主要是基本面之外的因素主导。美元大幅下挫的概率大大降低。预计今年第四季度和明年一季度美元指数在75—80区间震荡,明年二季度后,美元可能迎来反弹。
The dollar has devalued sharply since September. The dollar depreciation is dominated by factors other than fundamentals. The probability of a sharp drop in the dollar is greatly reduced. The fourth quarter of this year and the first quarter of next year the dollar index is expected to oscillate in the 75-80 range, the second quarter of next year, the dollar may usher in a rebound.