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世界能源消费的增长(除前苏联以外)在经济增长的带动下,已经稳定在略低于3％的水平。各种燃料的消费增长率亦趋于稳定。在化石燃料中,天然气的消费量增长最快,天然气在一次能源消费结构中与煤炭竞争,所占比例逐渐上升。以新兴市场经济国家,特别是亚洲国家为主导的世界各地区的能源消费也稳定增长。除非经济增长出现偏差或者在能源价格、技术和政策方面发生大的变化,否则,以上趋势都将持续下去。石油、天然气和煤炭的储量数据均表明,在可预见的未来,这几种资源不可能出现潜在的短缺。对能源资源的分析表明,目前探明的资源完全可以满足需求,并且近几年的资料证明,资源的发现量大于消费量,关键问题与其说是资源,倒不如说是成本和投资问题。
The growth of world energy consumption (except for the former Soviet Union) has stabilized at just under 3%, driven by economic growth. The growth rate of consumption of various fuels also stabilized. In fossil fuels, the consumption of natural gas is the fastest growing. The proportion of natural gas in the primary energy consumption structure competing with coal is gradually increasing. Energy consumption in various parts of the world dominated by emerging market economies, especially by Asian countries, has also steadily increased. Unless there is a deviation in economic growth or major changes in energy prices, technologies and policies, the above trends will continue. Reserves from oil, gas and coal all indicate that there is no potential for a shortage of these resources in the foreseeable future. Analysis of energy resources shows that currently proved resources can fully meet the demand, and in recent years the data prove that the amount of resources found is greater than the consumption. The key issue is not so much a resource as an issue of cost and investment.