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内需不足、投资过度等失衡现象制约了经济发展。在中央与地方分权式政治框架下,构建博弈描述政府与企业的理性抉择和追求利益最大化行为,从经济运行机制角度,分析宏观失衡及调控失灵。研究发现:(1)现阶段经济机制不可能产生有效均衡,这是失衡的直接原因;(2)当前经济机制下,政府调控仅加深了失衡。进一步,认为:(1)GDP政绩考评体系是导致政府投资竞争进而引发经济失衡的制度渊源;(2)解决失衡要求在政绩考评中增加反映居民消费的指标。
Inadequate domestic demand and over-investment have constrained economic development. Under the decentralized political framework between the central government and the local government, a game is constructed to describe the rational choice between the government and the enterprise and to pursue the maximization of the interests. From the economic operation mechanism, the macro imbalance and the regulation failure are analyzed. The findings are as follows: (1) It is impossible for the economic mechanism to produce effective equilibrium at this stage, which is the direct reason for the imbalance. (2) Under the current economic mechanism, the government control only deepens the imbalance. Further, it is considered that: (1) GDP performance appraisal system is the origin of the system leading to the government investment competition and then the economic imbalance; (2) To solve the problem of imbalance, we should increase the index reflecting the consumption of residents in the performance appraisal.