幕景分析法是一种能识别关键因素及其影响的方法。一个幕景就是一项事业或组织未来某种状态的描述,可以在计算机上计算和显示,也可用图表曲线等简述。幕景分析的结果大致分两类:一类是对未来某种状态的描述,另一类是描述一个发展过程及未来若干年某种情况一系列的变化。它可以向决策者提供未来某种机会带来最好的、最可能发生的和最坏的前景,还可以详细给出三种不同情况下可能发生的事件和风险。幕景分析法主要适用于以下范围:提醒决策者注意某种措 Scene analysis is a way of identifying key factors and their effects. A scene is a description of the state or future of a business or organization that can be calculated and displayed on a computer, as well as outlined in graphs and charts. The results of the screen analysis generally fall into two categories: one is a description of a future state, and the other is a series of changes that describe a development process and a certain situation in the coming years. It can provide decision makers with the best, most probable, and worst prospects of some future opportunity, as well as detail the events and risks that may occur in three different situations. Screen analysis mainly applies to the following areas: remind policymakers to pay attention to certain measures