论文部分内容阅读
本文作者对当代一些长周期理论作了概要的评述,强调长周期理论各个流派的不同观点所具有的互相补充的作用,并根据在长周期上升和下降阶段生产要素也出现充足和稀缺的交替变化的理论,发展出长周期理论分类体系,即:刨新决定论(熊彼特和门奇);资本理论(曼德尔和福雷斯特);劳工理论(弗利曼),以及原料和粮食理论(罗斯托)。作者还强调了制度和社会变化的重要意义。
The author gives a summary review of some of the contemporary long-period theories, emphasizes the complementarity of the different perspectives of the various schools of the long-period theory, and also produces sufficient and scarce alternative changes in the factors of production during the ascent and descent of the long period Theory, to develop a long-term theoretical classification system, namely: planing new determinism (Schumpeter and Mendy); capital theory (Mandel and Forrest); labor theory (Freeman), and raw materials and food Theory (Rostow). The author also stressed the importance of institutional and social change.