1.煤炭在一次能源的主体地位难以改变 从世界范围来看,常规能源的探明可采储量,包括煤炭、石油、天然气及水能资源(按350克/千瓦时标煤折算100年),折合标煤14667亿吨。其中:煤炭7702亿吨,占53％;石油及天然气合计3805亿吨,占26％。目前实际消耗煤炭占30％,石油及天然气占62％。石油及天然气将早于煤炭走向枯竭。从中国情况来看,煤炭工业的可持续发展,更具有现实意义。中国是世界上少数几个一次能源以煤为主的国家。按上述世界统计资料统一口径,中国常规能源的探明可采储量,包括煤炭、石油、天然气及水能资源折合标煤1918亿吨。其中:煤炭1186亿吨,占62％;石油及天然气50亿吨,只占2.6％。目前实际消耗煤炭占75％,石油及天然气占20％。根据专 1. Coal is difficult to change the dominant position of primary energy World proven recoverable reserves of conventional energy, including coal, oil, natural gas and hydropower resources (100 years at 350 g / kwh coal equivalent) Equivalent to 14667 tons of standard coal equivalent. Of which: 770.2 billion tons of coal, accounting for 53%; 3805 billion tons of oil and natural gas, accounting for 26%. The actual consumption of coal currently accounts for 30%, oil and natural gas accounted for 62%. Oil and gas will be depleted before coal. Judging from the situation in China, the sustainable development of the coal industry has more practical significance. China is one of the few primary energy-based coal-based countries in the world. According to the unified statistics of world statistics, the proved recoverable reserves of China’s conventional energy resources, including coal, oil, natural gas and hydropower resources, are equivalent to 191.8 billion tons of standard coal. Of which: 118.6 billion tons of coal, accounting for 62%; 5 billion tons of oil and natural gas, accounting for only 2.6%. The actual consumption of coal currently accounts for 75%, oil and natural gas accounted for 20%. According to the special