入夏以来,虽然已进入猪肉消费淡季,但往年在这个时候猪价下行的规律并没有被复制,相反,仍然延续前期大涨的行情,扶摇直上屡创新高。而在猪价上涨的同时,饲料价格却大幅下跌,使养猪利润进入历史最高时期。但高利润往往伴着高风险,尽管养殖者已趋于理性,但市场惯性并不会嘎然而止,新一轮“猪周期”仍会往复而来。故后期猪价走势究竟如何?面对变化的生产形势,怎样推动产业正常发展,避免产能过热出现大起大落?亟待业界人士深刻反思。 Since the beginning of summer, although the pork consumption has entered the off-season, the downward trend of pork prices at this time in previous years has not been duplicated. On the contrary, the market has continued to rise sharply and hit new highs. While the price of pork rose, the price of feed dropped sharply, bringing the profit of pigs into the highest period of history. However, high profits are often accompanied by high risks. Although farmers have become more rational, the market inertia will not come to a stop and the new round of pig cycles will still come back. Therefore, the late trend of how the price of pork? Faced with the changing production situation, how to promote the normal development of the industry, to avoid overheating ups and downs? Urgently industry practitioners a deep reflection.