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本文利用协整理论研究云南省经济增长与能源消费总量之间是否存在长期均衡关系,分析长期与短期的影响程度,利用回归法分析经济增长与能源消费量之间的相互影响。同时,根据云南省及16个州市经济增长与能源增长之间存在的协整系数,观察二者之间的影响趋势,判断各地的节能降耗效果趋势及各地减少能源消费所付出的经济代价。
In this paper, cointegration theory is used to study whether there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between economic growth and total energy consumption in Yunnan Province. The impact of long-term and short-term effects is analyzed. Regression analysis is used to analyze the interaction between economic growth and energy consumption. At the same time, according to the cointegration coefficient between economic growth and energy growth in Yunnan Province and 16 prefectures and cities, observe the trend of the impact between the two and determine the effect of energy saving and consumption reduction in various places and the economic cost of reducing energy consumption in various places .