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投资要点:经济增速放缓,消费需求受到抑制。我国GDP增速从2007年第二季度的12.7%后一直下降,2008年一季度为10.6%,二季度降到10.1%,三季度更是降至9%;CPI也是持续回落.通缩风险开始显现;社会消费零售额增速放缓,消费者信心指数下降,城镇居民消费支出增速下滑等一系列指标显示出在未来经济下行的时期内,消费需求将受到抑制。
Investment Highlights: Economic growth slowed and consumer demand was suppressed. China’s GDP growth rate has been declining from 12.7% in the second quarter of 2007, down from 10.6% in the first quarter of 2008 to 10.1% in the second quarter and to 9% in the third quarter; CPI also continued to drop, and deflationary risk began to appear ; The sluggish growth of retail sales of social consumption, the fall of consumer confidence index and the declining growth rate of urban residents’ consumption expenditures have shown that consumer demand will be restrained during the economic downturn.