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国际油价还没有触底。今明两年将是决定未来中期油价在什么水平、持续多长时间的关键时期。目前,国际原油价格正处于低水平适应初期。在这个时期,价格波动更加频繁、程度更加剧烈,受各种消息面的影响更大,金融投机者趁机炒作的机会更多,主要原因是还有不少市场参与者的乐观情绪以及期待油价快速上涨的侥幸心理没有彻底浇灭,还没有回到理性分析预测市场走势的正常水平。随着时间的推移,油价波动将逐渐趋于平静,并维持一段较长时间。
International oil prices have not bottomed yet. This year and next two years will be the key period for determining the level of oil price in the medium term and the duration of how long it will last. At present, the international crude oil price is at a low level to adapt to the initial stage. During this period, the price volatility was more frequent and the degree was more intense. Affected by all kinds of news, financial speculators took more chances to speculate more mainly due to the optimism of many market participants and the expectation of rapid oil price Rise luck chance did not completely extinguished, has not returned to the rational analysis of the normal trend of the market trend. Over time, oil price volatility will gradually become calm and maintain a long period of time.