由于 2000/2001年度小麦减产以及进口量继续保持较低水平，国内小麦市场的供给格局开始出现转机，即供大于求的程度已经略有缓解，小麦价格上涨也就顺理成章。以下从供需平衡的角度对当前及今后小麦市场的走势作一初步判断。　　一、播种面积逐年减少 　　近几年由于国家加大了 Due to the reduced wheat output in 2000/2001 and the continued low level of imports, the supply pattern of the domestic wheat market has begun to turn for the better. That is to say, the level of oversupply has eased slightly and the rise of wheat prices is also a matter of course. The following from the supply and demand balance perspective on the current and future wheat market trend to make a preliminary judgment. I. Sowing area decreases year by year In recent years, the country has increased