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2008年新季玉米上市以来,在产量增加、经济危机蔓延交织的大背景下,国家先后在东北地区启动四批临储玉米收购计划,在其强大效力作用下,目前农户手中余粮比例迅速减少、深加工企业补库意愿增强,国内玉米现货价格从北向南普遍上扬。东北玉米价格领涨,带动华北、黄淮市场跳出“洼地”调整上行,传感效应亦使南方销区、港口价格趋升,提振大连期价出现反弹。东北市场部分地区玉米价格已经超过临时收储标准价格,阶段性、区域性的供给不足,导致价格上扬。但这并不意味着玉米价格上升通道已被打开,国内外玉米市场均未脱离熊市基调,世界经济衰退还在向纵深发展,还会有许多不确定因素出现,须冷静对待国内玉米现货价格阶段性冲高,不宜对反弹空间期望过高。
Since the listing of the new crop of corn in 2008, with the increase of output and the spread of economic crises, the state has successively launched four batches of temporary acquisition of corn in the northeast region. With its strong effectiveness, the proportion of surplus grain in the farmer households has been rapidly reduced. Enterprise replenishment will increase, domestic corn spot prices generally rise from north to south. Northeast corn prices led the North China and Huanghuai markets led “out of the way” to adjust upward, the sensing effect also led to the southern sales area, the port prices rose, boosting the price of Dalian rebounded. The price of maize in parts of the northeast market has exceeded the standard price of temporary collection and storage, and the supply of commodities in phases and regions has caused the price to rise. However, this does not mean that the channel for increasing corn prices has been opened. Both the domestic and international corn markets have not escaped the bear market tone. The world economic downturn is still developing in depth. There are still many uncertainties to appear and the domestic corn spot prices must be treated calmly Sexual highs, should not be too high on the bounce space.