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铁路货物运输是国民经济的重要组成部分,对铁路货运量作出较为准确的预测,可为铁路管理部门提供决策参考。采用ARIMA模型对1990-2007年全国铁路货运量进行分析建模,并预测出未来几年的铁路货运量。
Railway freight transport is an important part of the national economy, making a more accurate prediction of the volume of railway freight traffic, which can provide decision-making references for railway administrations. ARIMA model was used to analyze the national railway freight volume from 1990 to 2007 and to predict the railway freight volume in the next few years.