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本文以中国为背景,研究影响基础产业市场投资的因素。实证研究表明,我国基础产业市场投资符合凯恩斯投资理论,即投资与利率成反比,但相关性较弱;与预期利润成正比,相关性较强。促进基础产业市场投资的良性发展,应保持国民经济持续发展,保持基础产业投资的稳定性,同时深化金融体制改革,进一步强化利率对基础产业投资的市场调节作用。
Based on China, this paper studies the factors affecting the investment in the basic industries. Empirical studies show that China’s investment in the basic industries meets Keynesian investment theory, that is, investment is inversely proportional to interest rates, but the correlation is weak; it is highly correlated with the expected profits. In order to promote the sound development of investment in the basic industries, we should maintain the sustained development of the national economy and maintain the stability of investment in basic industries. At the same time, we should deepen the reform of the financial system and further strengthen the market-regulating role of interest rates in investment in basic industries.