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针对民航收益管理单航段多票价级别允许超订并包含群订情况的舱位控制问题,将考虑顾客到达率和退订率预测误差的稳健模型,与不考虑需求预测误差的名义模型和改进的EMSR模型进行比较.模拟结果表明,当存在需求预测误差时,最优稳健策略比最优名义策略能获得更高的期望收益,并且随着误差水平的增大,稳健策略优于名义策略的效果越明显.同时指出,稳健策略更适合在剩余座位数较少或剩余销售时间较长的情况下应用.
For the civil aviation revenue management single-flight multi-fare level allows oversubscription and contains group booking situation control of accommodation, will take into account the customer arrival rate and unsubscribe rate prediction error robust model, and does not take into account the demand forecast error of the nominal model and improvement The simulation results show that when there is demand forecast error, the optimal robust strategy can get higher expected returns than the optimal nominal strategy, and the steady strategy is superior to the nominal strategy as the error level increases The more obvious the effect is.At the same time, pointed out that the robust strategy is more suitable for the remaining number of seats less or the remaining sales time longer application.