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20世纪10年代是近代中国工业开始形成的时期,对于这个时期的了解和研究是十分必要的和紧迫的。然而,由于各种原因,至今为止还没有比较系统和深入的研究,原因之一是资料尤其是统计资料的匮乏或者缺乏收集和整理。本文通过对这个时期唯一的比较系统和全面的统计资料《农商统计表》进行整理和修正,估算了这个时期工业生产的状况并做了初步的分析。由于这个统计资料质量十分低下,修正和估计工作也不得不带有较强的主观色彩,这必定影响分析结果,因此只能说是一种尝试,有待以后有更好的方法和资料进行印证。
The 20th century, 10’s is the era of the beginning of the formation of modern Chinese industry, for this period of understanding and research is very necessary and urgent. However, for a variety of reasons, so far there is no systematic and in-depth study, one of the reasons is the lack of information, especially the lack of statistics or the lack of collection and collation. This article estimates and analyzes the status of industrial production in this period by sorting out and revising the “farmer statistics table”, the only comparatively systematic and comprehensive statistical data of this period. Due to the very low quality of this statistical data, the revision and estimation work also has to bear a strong subjective tone. This will inevitably affect the result of the analysis. Therefore, it can only be said that it is an attempt to be proved later by better methods and information.