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在传统的农户生产决策中,政府监督的作用被忽视。承担退耕还林任务的农户是否仍然服从收益最大化原则,政府监督在巩固退耕还林成果中是否有效?为回答此问题,文章从理论上推导出巩固退耕还林的3种生态产出,并用全国24省2120个退耕农户的调查数据,采用多元Logit模型,验证了政府监督和农户决策在巩固退耕还林中的作用。研究发现,政府监督有效,在巩固退耕还林成果、获得退耕生态产出方面发挥显著作用;当政策激励与农户利益一致的情况下,遵循收入最大化原则退耕农户遵守退耕还林政策规定;贫困和少数民族退耕农户经营退耕林木有困难;农村劳动力和土地资源禀赋影响退耕还林成果巩固。
In the traditional decision-making of farmer production, the role of government supervision is neglected. In order to answer this question, the article deduces theoretically three kinds of ecological output to consolidate the conversion of cropland to forest and use The survey data of 2120 farmer households in 24 provinces in China use the multiple logit model to verify the role of government supervision and farmers’ decision-making in consolidating the conversion of cropland to forest. The study found that government supervision is effective, which plays a significant role in consolidating the achievements of conversion of cropland to forestland and obtaining the ecological output of returning farmland. When policy incentives are in line with the interests of farmers, returning farmers to farmland complies with the policy of returning farmland to forestry in line with the principle of maximum income; And the returning of farmers to farming in ethnic minorities have difficulties in converting forests to forests; the rural labor force and land resources endowment will consolidate the achievements of returning farmlands to forests.