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本文从美国地缘战略的角度剖析了跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(TPP)规则创新的逻辑,并在此基础上分析了TPP对各成员国的经济、就业和产业等方面的影响,同时指出TPP将会加剧美中经济脱钩的趋势。从TPP的具体规则与条款来看,国有企业、知识产权保护以及争端解决机制这三大领域与中国当前的体制机制存在较大冲突。不过,TPP在短中期内对中国国内改革与经济发展的影响有限,但对中美关系和中国经济外交的影响较大,TPP的规则创新对“一带一路”建设也有不少地方可供参考借鉴。最后,本文就中国如何应对TPP的挑战提出若干政策建议。
This paper analyzes the logic of TPP rules innovation from the perspective of the US geostrategy and analyzes the impact of TPP on the economy, employment and industry of member countries. It also points out that the TPP will Exacerbate the trend of decoupling the U.S.-China economy. From the specific rules and terms of the TPP, there are major conflicts between the three major areas of state-owned enterprises, intellectual property protection and dispute settlement mechanisms with the current institutional mechanisms in China. However, TPP will have a limited impact on China’s domestic reform and economic development in the short to medium term, but it will have a greater impact on the relations between China and the United States and China’s economic diplomacy. There are also many places where the TPP’s rules and innovations can be used to build the “One Belt, One Road” Reference for reference. Finally, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to deal with the challenge of TPP in China.