论文部分内容阅读
能源消费与经济增长有着密切的关系,能源有限导致供应紧张与经济的快速发展已成为城市化进程中的一大矛盾。只有对二者间的关系有了正确的认识,才能更好地持续发展。本文对北京能源消费总量与地区生产总值的相关性进行实证分析,依次进行了ADF检验、协整检验,构建误差修正模型,最后进行格兰杰因果检验。由此得出北京能源消费总量与地区生产总值之间存在长期均衡关系,且存在经济增长对能源消费的单向因果关系。
Energy consumption is closely related to economic growth. The shortage of energy and the rapid economic development have become a major contradiction in the process of urbanization. Only with the correct understanding of the relationship between the two can a better sustainable development. This paper makes an empirical analysis of the correlation between Beijing’s total energy consumption and GDP, conducts ADF tests, co-integration tests, builds error correction models, and finally conducts Granger causality tests. It is concluded that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between total energy consumption in Beijing and GDP, and there is a one-way causal relationship between economic growth and energy consumption.