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以安徽省16地市工业化、城镇化、农业现代化(简称“三化”)发展效率作为研究的起点和基础,利用协调度模型对“三化”协调度进行测度。研究发现,安徽省工业化效率存在严重的地区不平衡;农业现代化效率普遍较低;绝大部分地市存在“三化”发展低效且不协调的情况。选择农业发展的视角,利用Ologit模型,对“三化”高效协调发展的影响因素进行探索。实证分析结果表明,农业现代化升级过程中以机械以及其他工业品投入为代表的农业机械化、农业工业化水平提升应该是“三化”高效协调发展的重要突破口。
Taking the development efficiency of industrialization, urbanization and agricultural modernization in 16 prefectures and cities in Anhui Province as the starting point and basis of the study, the coordination degree model was used to measure the degree of coordination of the “threeizations”. The study found that there is a serious regional imbalance in the efficiency of industrialization in Anhui Province; the efficiency of agricultural modernization is generally low; most of the cities have inefficient and uncoordinated development. Select the perspective of agricultural development, the use of Ologit model, “Three ” efficient coordination of the development of factors to explore. The results of empirical analysis show that the upgrading of agricultural mechanization and agricultural industrialization represented by the input of machinery and other industrial products during the process of upgrading agricultural modernization should be an important breakthrough in the efficient and coordinated development of “three modernizations”.