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参照国内外关于经济周期波动的研究,本文采用GDP这一指标来衡量新疆的经济周期波动,样本区间选定为1952~2015年。此外,为剔除价格因素,对各年份GDP按照1952年不变价进行了折算处理,运用全样本CF滤波法进行趋势处理后,采用“谷—谷”法对新疆1953年以来的经济周期波动进行阶段划分,大体可分为10轮周期(见表1)。新疆经济周期波动的特征
With reference to the research on the economic cycle at home and abroad, this paper uses the index of GDP to measure the economic cycle of Xinjiang. The sample interval is selected from 1952 to 2015. In addition, in order to remove the price factor, the GDP of each year was converted according to the 1952 constant price. After the trend of the whole sample CF filter was used, the economic fluctuation in Xinjiang since 1953 Divided into stages can be divided into 10 cycles (see Table 1). The Characteristics of Xinjiang Economic Cycle