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近日,国务院提出“要加大住房需求调节力度,引导合理的住房消费,建立符合国情的住房建设和消费模式。”在此宏观背景下,结合我市6000~10000美元发展阶段特征,预测住房需求变化特点,以为政府引导需求提供依据。住房需求基本规律住房需求与一国的经济发展水平密切相关。世界银行资料表明,当一个国家人均GDP在600~800美元时,房地产进入高速发展期;当人均GDP进入1300~8000美元时,房地产进入稳定快速增长期;当一个国家人均GDP达到1500美元以上,其住宅建设将达到峰值。
Recently, the State Council proposed to “increase housing demand adjustment efforts to guide the rational housing consumption and establish a housing construction and consumption pattern that is in keeping with China’s national conditions.” In this macro-context, combined with the characteristics of the city’s development stage of 6000 ~ 10000 US dollars, the forecast Housing demand changes in order to provide the basis for the government to guide demand. Basic requirements for housing demand Housing demand is closely related to the level of economic development in a country. According to World Bank data, real estate has entered a period of rapid development when the per capita GDP of a country is between 600 and 800 U.S. dollars. Real estate has entered a steady and rapid growth period when the per capita GDP has reached between 1,300 and 8,000 U.S. dollars. When the per capita GDP of a country reaches more than 1,500 U.S. dollars, Its residential construction will peak.