医疗服务需要量及医疗费用的研究和预测,是制定卫生发展规划的基础,也是制定卫生政策、合理组织卫生事业并进行科学管理的重要依据。有关医疗服务需要量和费用预测很少见报道,原因是影响医疗服务和费用的因素很多,作用也很复杂,某些外部因素乃至无法 The research and forecast of medical service requirements and medical expenses are the basis for formulating a health development plan, and also an important basis for formulating a health policy, rationally organizing health undertakings, and conducting scientific management. There are few reports on the medical service requirements and cost predictions. The reason is that there are many factors affecting medical services and costs, and the role is very complex. Some external factors may not even be available.