一、2004年宏观经济环境分析及增长趋势预测2004年国民经济发展所面临的国内外宏观环境继续向好 ,经济发展的内在动力进一步趋强 ,但同时经济增长也面临一些短期问题和长期矛盾的制约。为此 ,宏观政策须进行适时适度的微调 ,使短期苗头性问题消灭在“萌芽”状态 ,并努力使长期 I. Analysis of the Macroeconomic Environment in 2004 and the Prediction of Its Growth Tendency The domestic and international macroeconomic environment faced by the national economy in 2004 continued to improve and the inherent impetus for economic development tended to be stronger. However, at the same time, the economy faced some short-term problems and long-term contradictions Restrictions. For this reason, macroeconomic policies need to be fine-tuned in a timely and appropriate manner to eliminate the short-term problems in the “sprouting” state and to make long-term