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本文认为产业集群发展演化并不完全局限于传统的单个四阶生命周期,而存在跨生命周期演化的现象,并初步构建了产业集群跨生命周期演化曲线。在跨生命周期演化过程中存在一段U型“转换”曲线,衔接前后两个四阶生命周期,同时推动产业集群转型升级。基于简化的产业集群结构模型,本文推演得到产业集群内企业在“转换”阶段的行为模型,并对产业转型的一些现象作出了解释。文末针对如何利用转换阶段引导产业集群跨生命周期演化,以及“转换”过程中新“种子”引入和“成核”阶段提出建议。
This paper argues that the development and evolution of industrial clusters are not limited to the traditional single fourth-order life cycle, but exist in the phenomenon of cross-life cycle evolution, and initially build the evolution curve of industrial clusters across life cycles. There is a U-shaped “transition ” curve in the evolution of the cross-life cycle, linking the two fourth-order life cycles before and after, and at the same time promoting the transformation and upgrading of industrial clusters. Based on the simplified model of industrial cluster structure, this paper deduces the behavior model of enterprises in the industrial cluster during “conversion ” stage and explains some phenomena of industrial transformation. At the end of this article, we put forward suggestions on how to use the transition phase to guide the cross-life evolution of industrial clusters and the introduction of new “seeds” and “nucleation” during the “transition” process.