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本文基于浙江和安徽两省1978~2010年的统计数据,运用stata11.2计量软件,对统计数据进行单位根检验、协整检验和格兰杰因果关系检验。结果表明,两省金融发展对经济增长都有一定的拉动作用,而安徽省金融发展对经济的带动作用更大。安徽省金融发展与经济增长之间存在双向因果关系,二者互为格兰杰原因;而浙江省金融发展与经济增长之间存在单项因果关系,即金融发展是经济增长的原因,而经济增长不是金融发展的原因。据此,本文提出了相关建议。
Based on the statistical data from 1978 to 2010 in Zhejiang and Anhui Provinces, this paper uses stata11.2 measurement software to test the unit root test, co-integration test and Granger causality test. The results show that the financial development in both provinces has a certain pulling effect on economic growth, while the financial development in Anhui Province has a greater impetus to the economy. There is a two-way causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in Anhui Province, both of which are Granger reasons. However, there is a single causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in Zhejiang Province. That is, financial development is the reason for economic growth while economic growth Not the reason for financial development. Accordingly, this article puts forward the related suggestion.