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中国化石能源消费峰值的实现较以前的普遍预期大幅提前。而与之相对应的各层级能源与气候政策目标、发展路线等一系列顶层设计也有待作一定程度的调整。近年来,关于我国煤炭消费量是否达峰引起学术界广泛热议。国家统计年鉴数据显示,我国煤炭消费自2013年达到42.4亿吨后开始连续两年下降。2016年,包括煤炭行业在内的重点高耗能行业开始实行供给侧改革,根据执行情况可判断至少未来短期内煤炭产量及消费量将继续保持下降趋势。与此同时,石油消费量增速保
The fossil energy consumption peak in China is substantially ahead of the previous general expectation. Corresponding to all levels of energy and climate policy objectives, the development of a series of top-level design also needs to be adjusted to some extent. In recent years, whether the peak of coal consumption in our country has aroused widespread academic controversy. According to the National Statistical Yearbook data, China’s coal consumption has dropped for two consecutive years since reaching 4.24 billion tons in 2013. In 2016, key energy-intensive industries, including the coal industry, started to implement supply-side reforms. According to their implementation, the coal output and consumption will continue to decline at least in the near future. In the meantime, the growth of oil consumption is guaranteed